Much has been said about (and several Saturday Night Live skits have lampooned) the media’s infatuation with Barack Obama. But sometimes a gaffe is so revealing and so encapsulates a candidate’s underlying fault lines (”I actually did vote for the $87M before I voted against it.”) that a sympathetic media can’t spin it away.
This seems to be the story line: "A political tempest over Barack Obama's comments about bitter voters in small towns has given rival Hillary Rodham Clinton a new opening to court working class Democrats 10 days before Pennsylvanians hold a primary that she must win to keep her presidential campaign alive."
Though the "bitter" bit is the least of it. Obama's self-contradiction on trade, guns, and religion is really the more damning part. And Taylor Marsh comments: "I'd say Obama made an amateur slip of the tongue, however, something about this statement, the glib nature of it combined with its specificity, makes me believe he actually feels this way."
OBESE FEEL MORE DISCRIMINATION: On the one hand, since they'll soon outnumber the rest of us, that's hard to believe. On the other hand, we're more likely to elect a black president than a fat one. I don't think William Howard Taft would have a chance today.
UPDATE: Reader Don Wolff writes:
If you look at photographs from a hundred years ago, you’ll see the rich, powerful and elite were often overweight. The poor and working class, then synonymous, were thin. The social critics of the day were outraged by this divide demanding justice to resolve it. America applied itself to correct that issue. Today, the rich, powerful and elite are thin. It is the working class and poor who are overweight. The critics are still unhappy.
Well, being unhappy is their job.
SCIENCE FICTION RECOMMENDATIONS: My bleg the other day in response to a reader question produced a number of responses. Here are some.
Reader Merrijane Rice emails: "My all-time favorite sci-fi author is Orson Scott Card, beginning with his Hugo and Nebula award winning Ender's Game. It's a really good read for teens and adults alike. Card not only creates engrossing characters and storylines, but has the knack of presenting complex scientific ideas in easy (or easier) to understand ways." Yes, it's a good book. We had a podcast interview with Card last year.
Reader Eric Roush emails: "I would add Lois McMaster Bujold to your list. Although perhaps not as 'hard SF' as many of the authors you have already mentioned, she is an excellent storyteller and does a good job at exploring the ramifications of the potential technologies that she does focus on, such as uterine replicators." Yes, her Barrayar books -- Shards of Honor and Barrayar start the series, then Miles Vorkosigan appears to carry the ball -- are good fun, and her Sharing Knife fantasy sequence, starting with Beguilement, is top-notch.
Reader Tom Grant emails: "Everyone will say that you have missed out on a number of 'BEST' science fiction, but I will also add my two cents: Armor by John Steakley. (one of the best ever -- 'You are what you do, when it counts.') The Dosadi Experiment another one of the same caliber." Yes, I've been meaning to reread The Dosadi Experiment, whose legal innovations I think I'd appreciate in a different way now than when I read it for the first time, serialized in Galaxy.
David Masceri writes:
I whole-heartedly recommend the "Book of the New Sun" series by Gene Wolfe. It's a science fiction/fantasy series divided into four volumes spread over two books: "Shadow and Claw" and "Sword and Citadel." I would go so far as to say that it ranks as one of my favorite novels of all time; I would definitely consider it my favorite science fiction book. My recommendation to sci-fi newbies would come with this disclaimer: This is not an easy read. The narrative is first-person and lacks explanation of the dominant technology, politics, or the society as a whole, and Wolfe will use an alien word and never explain it. If a reader likes his/her science fiction prose encyclopedic is in specificity, they won't the "Book of the New Sun." If he/she really enjoys the ability of good science fiction to confront its readers with a completely unheard of reality, I would say "you need to go get this book...now."
I had an idea for a piece on legal education based on a Gene Wolfe story that's a subset of the above -- The Shadow of the Torturer, in which the education of apprentice-torturer Severian struck me as surprisingly similar to the education of budding lawyers, right down to how the professional ethics involved seem to have little to do with client welfare . . . . I had a lengthy conversation with Janet Halley about that some years ago and then never got around to actually writing it. I was busy with Is Democracy Like Sex? then, I think.
Hank Shelton offers a reminder: "Don't forget the Internet Top 100 Science Fiction Books list, (Link). It's been dead for five years or so, but I found a lot of great books there I'd never read. "
Meanwhile, Mark Whittington has his own list of recommended science fiction -- recommended for the Presidential candidates. I certainly agree with his inclusion of Robert Heinlein's The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, and Starship Troopers. And Poul Anderson's Van Rijn stories are good, though I suspect few politicians would appreciate them.
Reader Solomon Foster emails:
he most interesting new project I've been following is Shadow Unit: http://www.shadowunit.org
It's a completely on-line shared world writing project, with old pros Emma Bull and Will Shetterly joined by relative newcomers Elizabeth Bear, Sarah Monette, and Amanda Downum. It's done TV series style, with a series bible and all -- in Emma's words, "A mystery/suspense show, a cop show, a profiler show--but with a science-fictional problem at its heart." They've released four novellas to the web so far this year, all great reads, with three more and a novel scheduled in the next two months.
Also highly recommended is Elizabeth Bear's recent novel Dust, technology that's hard to distinguish from the usual fantasy tropes. And Naomi Novik's Temeraire series, whichi s basically Patrick O'Brien with dragons added.
Yeah, but that moves us more into the fantasy realm. Good books, though -- I've read 'em all, and that nutshell description is about right.
Several readers point to Vernor Vinge's Rainbows End -- and we had a podcast interview with Vinge, too, a while back, and that has links to other works of his that are worth your time.
Also, unless you're a robophobic type like Matt Yglesias, Isaac Asimov's I, Robot is still good -- the InstaWife, who doesn't care that much for science fiction, liked these stories a lot. And, of course, the Foundation trilogy, despite having allegedly inspired both Osama bin Laden and the Aum Shinriyko cult, is still a classic. And while we're talking classics, there's always Arthur C. Clarke's Childhood's End.
That's probably enough for now. I'll try to put up some more later. And if you missed it, there are more links to recommendations here.
UPDATE: Up for like two minutes and I'm already getting criticism. M. Simon emails:
Any list that does not have at least one of the Dorsai novels is not serious.
The Tactics of Mistake is a good one.
Yeah, it is. I met Dickson once -- I think it was when he was guest of honor at Satyricon in Knoxville -- and he was a nice guy, though obviously not too healthy even then.
TOM MAGUIRE: A TYPICAL SORT OF FLARE-UP: "Hmm, how typical is it for a candidate to characterize a huge swath of his target voters as bigoted, gun waving religious fanatics?" And a big roundup from James Joyner, who observes: "Class bias works both ways. Urban elites tend to view rural America, especially Southerners, as a bunch of yahoos. Rural Americans, meanwhile, think big city types are elitist snobs who don’t love America. There are similar resentments between rich and poor, educated and not, and even Ivy League -State College. In private gatherings, where people think they are among the like-minded, one hears shocking bigotry along those lines."
And sometimes it's recorded and circulated on the Internet.
INVISIBLE HOMOPHOBIA: "It's not just homophobia from conservatives we have to worry about. Liberals can be just as baldly antigay -- often without reproach."
ABC News' Sarah Amos reports that at North Carolina Wesleyan College in Rocky Mount, N.C., Clinton campaign North Carolina chieftain Tom Hendrickson, a former state party chair, made much hay out of the "small town" comments made by Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill.
Hendrickson was introducing former President Bill Clinton.
"I normally just come and talk about President Clinton and Senator Clinton at these, but today Senator Obama was out at a fundraiser at I guess a brie and chardonnay crowd in San Francisco," Hendrickson said. "But his quote talking about small towns in Pennsylvania -- and which applies to small towns across eastern North Carolina -- which is why it is relevant to this tour we are doing today. And his quote is 'and it is not surprising that they cling to guns and religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them, or anti-immigrant or anti-trade as a way to explain their frustration.'
"I listened to that quote and I got mad," Hendrickson said, "and I wanted to reach out to Senator Obama and say senator, we are from the rural part of eastern North Carolina. We are very proud of our heritage, we are proud of who we are. We are not frustrated. We are not bitter. We turn to our faith because we believe, and we hunt and fish because it is part of our culture and we enjoy it.
Complaints about the drilling bans in ANWR and offshore are a staple of right-wing talk radio. But I remember Malcolm S. Forbes, back in the 1970s, saying that we should drill as little domestic oil as possible. Pump the Arabs' oil as long as it lasts, then -- when oil has become really scarce and valuable -- we'll be the only ones with any left!
MORE: Heh. Hicks nix clique's shticks. "If you're running as a glamorous blank slate on which people project their own utopian fantasies, you've got to be very careful not to give the game away - especially when the game turns out to be the usual cliched elite disdain for the great unwashed."
More at Talkleft: "Is he digging himself into a deeper hole? Clinging to anti-immigrant sentiment isn't a bad thing? Isn't he still saying PA voters harbor anti-immigrant sentiment that have been passed down to them through generations?"
BILL ROGGIO: Fighting in Sadr City. Meanwhile, InstaPundit correspondent John Tammes sends this: "Just a quick follow up - it is game on down here, and the early results are good. A high ranking Iraqi officer said to me that they 'struck some gold.'"
DEEP BACKGROUND: Austin Bay and I talk about Iraq, with Jules Crittenden, Bill Roggio, and Michael Totten.
ANN ALTHOUSE: "How odd that Pennsylvania got set apart in time from all the other primaries. What luck for Clinton. All this time for something to go wrong for Obama and for exploiting it — like that awful quote everyone's talking about. . . . I must say that the original statement sounded like a typical law-school-liberal remark. I think it was quite sincere, and I'm rather sure he believed he was being admirably intellectual and raising politics to a new, higher level. Within a liberal law school environment, that statement would be heard as a thoughtful, compassionate insight. Some of your colleagues might think you were excessively, squishily tolerant of what they see as ignorant, bigoted people, but I don't think they'd push you to be more understanding of the alien culture you were observing."
ANOTHER UPDATE: More here: "Moreover, even assuming for the sake of argument that some voters do vote values over economics, Obama may want to explain to such voters why they should do otherwise, given that he has spent the last 20 years in a church known for disavowing 'the pursuit of middleclassness.' . . . In addition, if Obama thinks these voters are clinging to anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment because of US economic policy, he ought to explain why he is exploiting anti-trade sentiment on the campaign trail, but advocating lax policies on illegal immigration, including (but not limited to) providing government benefits like drivers’ licenses to illegal aliens and allowing criminals to become citizens. Once he does that, Obama can explain how he squares his stated position on trade with the advice of his top economic adviser. And when he does that, Obama can explain how his stated position on immigration squares with his labor-induced vote that killed the McCain-Kennedy immigration bill last summer."
Yeah, it's like a perfect storm of phoniness.
EVERYTHING THAT'S WRONG WITH THE G.O.P. IN TWO WORDS: Trent Lott. “I haven’t paid for lunch in 30 years.”
CONGRATULATIONS: Michael Yon's book is currently up to #470 on Amazon, and it's not even officially out yet, though it has started to ship. I hope it's widely read. Buy a copy for each of your Senators!
So now, Duke University wants to keep certain people from saying certain things about the disproven rape allegations against the school's lacrosse players.
Now that lawsuits accuse Duke of having helped inflame campus sentiment against the team, this is a good time to be quiet about the whole thing, it seems.
Well, that is a turn of events.
This is the same school where faculty and students loudly demanded jailing -- and worse -- for the young men; where administrators canceled the team's season and fired the coach to try to quell the mob. That same school is now trying to punish players' lawyers for inviting the news media to write about what the school allegedly did wrong.
In response to a suit filed by 38 current and former lacrosse players at Duke, lawyers for the university accuse the players' attorneys of ethics violations in speaking publicly about their case.
Merely insuring, of course, that we're all reminded of how badly Duke behaved. Hey, it's good for Stuart Taylor and K.C. Johnson.
"A PROVOCATIVE MASKED BALL SET IN THE RUINS OF THE WORLD TRADE CENTER:" They do this because they know we won't behead them. Such is the bravery of artists. (Possibly NSFW, though not in any sort of appealing way).
UPDATE: Bryon Scott emails: "The irony of this play isn't that it uses World Trade Center imagery. It's that the point of it is to expose the cruel disparity between the rich and poor in America. This coming from a country who's unemployment rate has been close to double that of the US for the last fifteen years."
The real irony is that if you staged a similarly nasty opera about modern German in America, nobody would care, because Germany doesn't matter that much. And they hate that.
SOUNDS LIKE YOU'VE HIT THE NAIL ON THE HEAD: "The Olympics are a vulgar, ruinous hullabaloo the chief functions of which are to facilitate graft on a spectacular scale and to act as a vehicle for the promotion of despotic values. They are, at best, unedifying and, at worst, intolerable."
And, from the comments: "I think you're being entirely too kind."
MORE ON OBAMA'S SMALL-TOWN SCREWUP, from Tom Maguire.
Plus this: "Obama To Rural Pennsylvanians: Vote For Me, You Corncob-Smokin', Banjo-Strokin' Chicken-Chokin' Cousin-Pokin' Inbred Hillbilly Racist Morons." That'll sell. Can't anybody play this game?
Barack Obama has done what Democratic candidates for president invariably do — he has revealed the profound sense of unearned superiority that is the sad and persistent hallmark of contemporary liberalism. Obama’s statement today that small-town folk “cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren’t like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations” may be the most distilled example of this train of thought I’ve ever seen.
I still think that knocking the anti-trade stuff is pretty hypocritical given Barack's own position. And wasn't it just the other day he was telling us he's the pro-gun candidate?
I once saw Alan Dershowitz argue an appeal back when I was a law clerk. He made clear from the beginning that he thought he was the smartest guy in the room -- which, as one of the other clerks remarked later, proved that he wasn't. He lost. Must be a Harvard Law thing . . . .
I used to think working class voters had conservative values because they were bitter about their economic circumstances--welfare and immigrants were "scapegoats," part of the false consciousness that would disappear when everyone was guaranteed a good job at good wages. Then I left college. ...
And follow the link for Michael Lind's comment: "Hunting is part of working-class American culture. Does Obama really think that working-class whites in Pennsylvania were gun control liberals until their industries were downsized?" How would he know otherwise?
Plus, "Let's have a national dialogue about egghead condescension!" It's got to work better for Obama than the dialogue about race has . . . .
If you respect the NAACP's heritage, you will be disgusted to learn that the organization's Detroit chapter plans to honor a man who says that AIDS is a U.S. government plot to kill black people and that the Sept. 11 attacks were "America's chickens . . . coming home to roost," and who declares: "God damn America." . . .
This appears to be a case of circling the wagons: Wright, a black man, is under attack, so the NAACP, an organization that seeks the advancement of black people, is defending him. In doing so, the NAACP is committing an analytical and moral error. Wright is under attack not for the color of his skin, but for the content of his ideas. To defend him is to countenance those ideas. Through its actions, the NAACP is in effect arguing that anti-Americanism is acceptable, so long as its source is black. The association is sanctioning both invidious ideas and an invidious racial double standard.
Read the whole thing.
ROBOPHOBIA: Matthew Yglesias is being busted for anti-android prejudice. I wish to join in saying that robophobia and hatred directed at our cybernetic friends has no place in a civilized polity, and that someone should report Matt to the ASPCR.
UPDATE: Brendan Loy slaps me for "Robot Dhimmitude:" "Glenn Reynolds's hyperactive sense of political correctness is blinding him to the threat robots pose!"
Does former President Bill Clinton regret his error-strewn defense of his wife's Bosnia sniper-fire story? Does he regret mis-informing voters in Boonville and Jasper, Indiana? "I regret that people like you care more about that when whether she served the troops," he told reporters today in Terr[e] Haute, per ABC News' Sarah Amos.
Meanwhile, reader Aaron Pastula writes: "Have you ever assembled a collection of recommended Sci-Fi reading from your readers? Particularly good places to start for 'first timers?'"
Yeah, but it's been a while. Here's an older post, and here's another. Plus this.
UPDATE: Owing Austan Goolsbee an apology? "Behind closed doors — among his fellow educated, upper-class liberals — the real Obama sounds very different from the one who threatened to pull the U.S. out of NAFTA."
ANOTHER UPDATE: The Huffington Posthas audio. And there's this reaction: "It shows an elitism and condescension towards hardworking Americans that is nothing short of breathtaking." But Armando thinks he'll get away with it. Plus, Obama's response.
Plus these thoughts on playing both ends against the middle: "Perhaps when Obama returns to Pennsylvania to ask for votes, he will charm the locals with tales of the aging Bay Area hippies who just do not understand how US trade policy is destroying the our manufacturing base and the lives of upstanding Americans in the heartland who bowl better than he does." Heh.
MORE STILL: Obama had better hope that this reaction isn't typical:
First of all, Pennsylvanians...especially those of us in the western part of the state, really get irked when we are called "midwestern." The Midwest doesn't start until the Ohio border, and unless you've lived in both Pennsylvania and Ohio, you wouldn't get the difference.
Second, the comment about "people who are different" is just so insulting to those of us who live in or around Pittsburgh, an area noted for its ethnicity. I can go 25 miles in any direction from where I live and see churches, temples, neighborhoods, signs, social halls, stores, etc., for many different ethnic groups from every part of the world. I can also pass through many small towns and not notice anyone who is hoping for a remake of "Deliverance." Honestly, Obama is such a sham. He doesn't have a clue about anything having to do with real life. What an idiot.
OK...I've ranted!
Best,
Jean Spik
Moon Township, PA
Like I said . . . .
KENNEDY AND the doctors. Dr. Hans Kraus may have saved civilization.
I'M NOT SURE THE DIFFERENT FACTIONS WILL EVERY REALLY GET ALONG: "A teenage driver was killed in a car-to-car shooting at a freeway off-ramp early Thursday in the latest in several recent fatal roadway attacks in California."
IN THE SHADOW OF THE IPHONE: A roundup of iPhone and other cellphone news. My venerable cellphone will have to be replaced sometime in the foreseeable future, but I don't think it'll be with an iPhone.
ED DRISCOLL EMAILS, wondering whatever happened to the Church of Kos?
INSTAPUNDIT'S IRAQ CORRESPONDENT, Major John Tammes, emails:
All of us over here working with the Iraqi Army have been extra busy lately. Your readers are probably aware of events the last few weeks.
What I have seen in the area of Iraq I have been working is an Iraqi Army that is showing that it can adapt and improve. This is a major step forward for them, if you consider their previous Amry's showings against the Iranians and us. They were inflexible, repeated mistakes and feared reprisals for even suggesting a change. To be sure, the Iraqi Army has a ways to go, but what I have seen lately is encouraging.
One other thing I should mention - the attitude of the units I have dealt with seems a little better than I would have expected. When I met some of the jinood (soldiers) recently, they seemed a bit more focused on the job. Again, they have a ways to go - but it is improving.
The photo is of an NCO and a Warrant Officer in one of the transportation units that had been in action lately. They had taken some losses, but were keeping up on their maintenance and keeping the trucks rolling.
Back in aristocratic days, some aristocrats took real pride, and got real pleasure, from being patrons of scholars, musicians, artists, poets. Today, ordinary people like me can take this pride, and enjoy this pleasure, by supporting you and your work. Thank you for giving me, and many like me, the opportunity to take part in your work by helping to support you financially. I hope this does give you a freedom to think about and write about what you consider most interesting and important.
DO MEN RUN THE WORLD? As Scott Adams says, you shouldn't get too excited because those are other men.
UPDATE: Okay, here's the precise quote, worth breaking out:
Men live in a fantasy world. I know this because I am one, and I actually receive my mail there. We men like to think we’re in charge because most of the top jobs in business and government are held by men, but I have a shocking statistical insight for you men–THOSE ARE OTHER MEN. The total percentage of men in those top spots is roughly .0000001 percent of the male population. I’m not one of them. I just draw cartoons and write these stupid books. Chances are, if you’re a man reading this, you’re not running the world, either.
Indeed. It is also the case, as the column linked above notes, that the interests of those men who do run the world are often in some, er, tension with the interests of those who do not.
EXERCISE: "Maintaining aerobic fitness through middle age and beyond can delay biological ageing by up to 12 years and prolong independence during old age, concludes an analysis published ahead of print in the British Journal of Sports Medicine." If there were a pill that could do this, you'd buy it.
SHOULD HAVE DONE THE SAME HERE: Olympic 'Thugs' Rejected By Japan: "Chinese security guards who have been encircling the Olympic flame as it makes its way around the world will not be welcome in Japan."
Plus, Randy Barnett's new casebook, Constitutional Law: Cases in Context. And yesterday it was Terry Heaton and Michael Yon. Blogger books everywhere!
ANOTHER KNOXVILLE PICTURE, but this one's not sunny. It's from the Downtown Grill & Brewery last night, where -- though I may have appeared to the casual observer to have just been having a beer with my brother and his girlfriend -- I was actually hard at work producing material for this blog. Successful blogging requires constant effort . . . .
Since Gen. Petraeus' and Ambassador Ryan Crocker's September 2007 testimony, "the Anaconda" (the incremental synergy of this complex war-fighting and nation-building process) has dramatically squeezed al Qaeda. No, it hasn't crushed it — but the organization is physically damaged. Moreover, with the "Sunni Awakening" and similar programs, al Qaeda has suffered extraordinary political and information defeats as Sunnis publicly turned on the jihadis.
Is this victory in Iraq? No. But it suggests we've won a major battle with potentially global significance, the kind that in the long term squeezes al Qaeda's ideological appeal in all corners of the planet. . . .
The Iraqi army and Iraqi government planned and executed the operation themselves. Failure? Don't think so. This is progress. As time passes, it is increasingly clear the Iraqi army did a far better job than the Shia gangsters.
But we all know why the complex chart gets ignored and successes are glasses half-empty: A presidential election campaign is on, and the Democratic Party has bet its soul on defeat.
"Hear no progress in Iraq, see no progress in Iraq, but most of all speak of no progress in Iraq." Thus Sen. Joe Lieberman, a member of the Armed Services Committee, deftly summed the last two years of Democratic Party posturing as well as the Democrats' talking points in the latest hearings.
Mr. Lieberman's maverick pal, Sen. and Republican presidential nominee John McCain, spoke more bluntly, "Congress should not choose to lose in Iraq, but we should choose to succeed."
Read the whole thing. And read this report from the New York Times, too, which is at considerable distance from the earlier NYT analysis that Mickey Kaus is mocking today. But then, it involves actual reporting.
And don't miss these appalled thoughts on the Petraeus hearings from Iraq blogger Alaa. "I was watching the Interrogation of General David Petraeus and the ambassador. What struck me most was the attitude and words from some of the Democratic senators. It seemed as though the enemy for these ladies and gentlemen was not Al-Qaeda, the terrorists or people like that."
This is how fragile the robotics industry is: Last year, three armed ground bots were deployed to Iraq. But the remote-operated SWORDS units were almost immediately pulled off the battlefield, before firing a single shot at the enemy. Here at the conference, the Army’s Program Executive Officer for Ground Forces, Kevin Fahey, was asked what happened to SWORDS. After all, no specific reason for the 11th-hour withdrawal ever came from the military or its contractors at Foster-Miller. Fahey’s answer was vague, but he confirmed that the robots never opened fire when they weren’t supposed to. His understanding is that “the gun started moving when it was not intended to move.” In other words, the SWORDS swung around in the wrong direction, and the plug got pulled fast. No humans were hurt, but as Fahey pointed out, “once you’ve done something that’s really bad, it can take 10 or 20 years to try it again.”
So SWORDS was yanked because it made people nervous. Meanwhile, the V-22 Osprey program has killed 30 people during test flights, but the tiltrotor aircraft is currently in active service.
ORGANIZATIONAL PROBLEMS for the McCain campaign? They've got about a month to get any problems under control. But this passage should serve as a wake-up call: "Regular PW visitors may recognize in this piece many similarities to Hillary Clinton’s dysfunctional organization." Though fortunately many of these problems have already been addressed, at least to some degree.
DEMOCRATIC presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama may have their hearts in the right place in opposing a trade agreement with Colombia. It's their better judgment that is mistaken.
The two candidates are wrong about the Colombian human rights violations they cite and the jobs they hope to save for Pennsylvania workers.
The agreement, which President Bush sent this week to Congress for an up or down vote, essentially makes permanent the trade preferences that Colombia has had for 17 years. What is new is that the treaty opens the Colombian market to US exports.
The Colombian government is making the bigger sacrifice because a permanent agreement removes uncertainty for investors. Trade, combined with US support for Colombia's military and justice system, have helped Colombia beat back a leftist insurgency, largely demobilize right-wing paramilitaries, and spark a boom that has reduced poverty, unemployment, and the economic weight of drug mafias.
Congress has been extending the temporary preferences for months at a time. Kill the trade agreement and the preferences by all logic should be killed, too. That undercuts hundreds of thousands of Colombians who work in the higher-paying new export industries.
But the unions decided that they had to show their ability to stop something, and chose this. Merits don't matter when it's all about demonstrating clout.
After almost five years of war, many young people in Iraq, exhausted by constant firsthand exposure to the violence of religious extremism, say they have grown disillusioned with religious leaders and skeptical of the faith that they preach. In two months of interviews with 40 young people in five Iraqi cities, a pattern of disenchantment emerged, in which young Iraqis, both poor and middle class, blamed clerics for the violence and the restrictions that have narrowed their lives.
“I hate Islam and all the clerics because they limit our freedom every day and their instruction became heavy over us,” said Sara, a high school student in Basra. “Most of the girls in my high school hate that Islamic people control the authority because they don’t deserve to be rulers.”
Atheer, a 19-year-old from a poor, heavily Shiite neighborhood in southern Baghdad, said: “The religion men are liars. Young people don’t believe them. Guys my age are not interested in religion anymore.”
It is said that generals always fight the last war. But when David Petraeus came to town it was senators – on both sides of the aisle – who battled over the Iraq war of 2004-2006. That war has little in common with the war we are fighting today.
I may well have spent more time embedded with combat units in Iraq than any other journalist alive. I have seen this war – and our part in it – at its brutal worst. And I say the transformation over the last 14 months is little short of miraculous. . . .
This leads us to the most out-of-date aspect of the Senate debate: the argument about the pace of troop withdrawals. Precisely because we have made so much political progress in the past year, rather than talking about force reduction, Congress should be figuring ways and means to increase troop levels. For all our successes, we still do not have enough troops. This makes the fight longer and more lethal for the troops who are fighting. To give one example, I just returned this week from Nineveh province, where I have spent probably eight months between 2005 to 2008, and it is clear that we remain stretched very thin from the Syrian border and through Mosul. Vast swaths of Nineveh are patrolled mostly by occasional overflights.
We know now that we can pull off a successful counterinsurgency in Iraq. We know that we are working with an increasingly willing citizenry. But counterinsurgency, like community policing, requires lots of boots on the ground. You can't do it from inside a jet or a tank.
Read the whole thing. And buy his book! Get a second copy to send your congressman.
MORE OF THE WRIGHT STUFF: "Just to keep up to date, the noxious Rev. Jeremiah Wright will speak at the Detroit branch of the NAACP 53rd Annual Fight for Freedom Fund dinner. I would have jumped on this one yesterday, but given that NAACP chair Julian Bond has compared the GOP to the Taliban, given an award to someone who called Condoleeza Rice a murderer, and engaged in bizzare conspiracy theories about Hurricane Katrina, it is far more predictable than outrageous (though it is that also)."
TIGERHAWK: "I have to admit, the evidence that John McCain is a Cylon is fairly persuasive, and that's without considering his proven ability to withstand both physical and psychological torture."
BLUE-ON-BLUE: Over at Larry Johnson's No Quarter blog they're still hammering Obama and Jeremiah Wright. They're getting so much traffic they were knocked off line for a while today. Some of the comments are kind of ugly.
Didn't Captain Kirk freak out an alien supercomputer this way once? . . . .
MORE ON THE CRUSHING OF DISSENT IN CANADA, from Eric Scheie. "So, in fighting the growing censorship movement, every little bit helps. Because it can happen here." Follow the link to see what you can do.
JESSE WALKER: "It might sound odd coming from a libertarian, but I wish the Pelosi-Reid Democrats had more in common with Franklin Roosevelt. Not the Franklin Roosevelt who occupied the White House from 1933 to 1945, but the Franklin Roosevelt who aspired to the White House in the election of 1932. The Democratic platform of that year is a remarkable document, considering the way the party's candidate went on to govern." Was it just there to fool the rubes? If so, it worked!
DON'T FORGET: Saturday night is Yuri's Night. 173 parties in 49 countries on 7 continents!
ED MORRISSEY: "Life on the road covering a confirmed presidential nominee apparently bores reporters to tears. Instead of covering news, they literally make up controversy to keep themselves from falling asleep."
POLL: McCain erases Obama lead. It's a long time until fall, but this probably indicates the extent of the continuing damage from Rev. Wright.
Meanwhile, advice to McCain -- don't get cocky! "But herein lies a trap for the McCain team: the temptation to run on biography alone. Biographical campaigns did not treat Bob Dole or John Kerry well."
THE BAKKEN OIL FIELD ESTIMATE is out, and the number is 3.65 billion barrels. That's not chopped liver, but it's not the 200 billion figure that was floating around the blogosphere, either. Report here.
ORWELLIAN CONCERNS about a robo-restaurant. But isn't this just the old automat revisited?
NAACP INVITES Jeremiah Wright to speak. There must have been a Hillary operative or two behind that decision.
ROGER SIMON: "Reverend Eric Lee of the Southern Christian Leadership Council has responded to accusations of anti-Semitism by Daphna Ziman of Children Uniting Nations. But has he raised more questions than he answered?"
NATIONAL HEALTH IS NOT POLLING WELL: "Twenty-nine percent (29%) of American adults favor a national health insurance program overseen by the Federal Government. A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 39% oppose such a government-led initiative while 31% are not sure." This is particularly interesting given the media's general friendliness to the idea.
THE BRIDGES TO THE FUTURE WEBCAST on infrastructure, etc., can be watched by going here and hitting Play. Background here.
ADVICE TO DIGITAL PHOTOGRAPHERS: When you get back from a picture-taking expedition, immediately copy the photos to your computer and then burn a CD or DVD of the files. Label the disk and file it. I needed a picture I took four years ago, and was able to go straight to the disk and pull it up in about two minutes from scratch. That's despite a hard drive crash and a couple of computer changes.
I don't do this quite as regularly with the family snapshots, but I do it there, too, whenever the camera starts to fill up.
BARACK OBAMA: Our leading warrior against anti-Semitism? Jake Tapper is unimpressed. (Via Hot Air, where it's noted that Palestinians have a different view. So who are the rubes this time?).
And I notice that Michael Yon's new book is now shipping from Amazon, though it doesn't officially come out for a few more days.
PEOPLE SEEM TO LIKE the cheery photos from sunny Knoxville, so here's another. Also a D300 shot, from Cherokee Park.
UPDATE: Yeah, the colors are kinda cartoony. I took these that first day when I was following Ken Rockwell's recommendation to turn the saturation up. I've turned it back down since . . . .
I should note that I think Brian's view of Islam is overly negative. But in a world where even "human rights commisions" view the anti-Western, anti-Semitic variety of fundamentalist Islam as the authentic variety, I suppose such misunderstandings are inevitable.
PARDON ME, BUT YOUR DOOR IS TERRIBLY OFFENSIVE: "At a public university, such common displays of individual preference would presumably fall under the protections of the First Amendment. But not when such displays are offensive to others, according to officials at Lake Superior State University, which threatened to reprimand a tenured professor whose door boasted cartoons and other images of a conservative political bent." F.I.R.E. is involved. "FIRE and Crandall, who could not be reached for comment, point out that other professors at the university are able to post politically charged pictures and phrases on their doors without consequence, presumably because their perspective is liberal or leftist rather than conservative or right-wing." Again, if right-leaning students choose to take offense in the fashion that has become traditional for leftists, there will probably be many more such door-carton cases.
My door features a large "Is your coworker a Cylon?" poster. So far no one has been offended.
MORE: Reader Ted Pannkokke says door-cartoons play an important informational role:
The professor's-door-as-billboard is one of the most important course-scheduling tools a student has. When I was a history major and law student walking down Office Hall for whatever reason, a door plastered with Tom Tomorrow cartoons was a good marker for what professors - and hence courses - to avoid like the plague.
Well, Dan's gotten a bit shrill lately, but he's done some funny work. In fact, as I've noted before, that cartoon was the inspiration for the "A.G. Android" character.
LIEBERMAN CAMPAIGN CRASHED OWN WEBSITE: "The server that hosted the joe2006.com Web site failed because it was overutilized and misconfigured." That's like when people send me a link to their underpowered WordPress blog, then it produces a "Database Error" message when too many people try to actually read it. I hate that. (Yeah, this happens elsewhere sometimes, but low-power WordPress blogs seem particularly susceptible.)
AN 11-YEAR-OLD HERO: "The 11-year-old boy who steered a runaway school bus to safety said Wednesday he did it because he saw a truck coming at them and because his brother also was on the bus. David Murphy said he worried afterward that he might get in trouble for jumping into the driver's seat, but he said police and fire officials reassured him that he did the right thing, and so did his classmates."
I seem to vaguely remember a similar case where the girl who seized the steering wheel did get in trouble, but I can't find it. Glad he's receiving proper acclaim.
UPDATE: Ah, here's the story I remembered. She got detention because she was skipping school. Thanks to reader Jim Chandler.
AS I MENTIONED EARLIER, the Ontario Human Rights Commission backed down over the Mark Steyn case, but not without issuing some anti-Steyn dictum in spite of its self-confessed lack of any jurisdiction. Here's a news story on the event, and note this passage:
This qualified exculpation -- Ms. Hall compared it to a judge making comments in a written judgment -- was the latest chapter in the growing controversy over free speech in Canada's human rights bureaucracy.
Her statement drew harsh criticism from a progressive Muslim leader who said the commission had sided with Islamist fundamentalists in the debate among Canadian Muslims over the acceptance of traditional Canadian values.
You'd think that promoting "traditional Canadian values" is what a Canadian "human rights" commission would be about. But you'd be tragically wrong. Plus, "Scrutinizing the Human Rights Machine." And this:
This is why Ontario’s human-rights commission hasn’t yet suffered the sort of signature embarrassment suffered by its federal counterpart at last week’s Marc Lemire hearing.
But instead of counting their blessings, the folks at the OHRC are complaining that they’ve been left out of the censorship party. And they want in.
Wednesday’s Orwellian communiqué reads like something the Chinese communist party might put out on Xinhua — except that the role of anti-Chinese “traitors” and “saboteurs” has been replaced by evil-doers (such as Maclean’s magazine’s Mark Steyn, and Ezra Levant of the Western Standard) who peddle “destructive, xenophobic opinions.”
There would seem to be many opportunities for investigative journalism here, for anyone interested in examining things closely. Perhaps Macleans should undertake the effort . . . .
And here's still more on the disaster that the Canadian "human rights" bureaucracy kakistocracy has become. At least this is getting attention in the Canadian press.
In fact, for an organization that is supposed to promote "human rights," the HRC's agents seem curiously oblivious to basic aspects of constitutional law. In one famous exchange during the Lemire case, Steacy was asked "What value do you give freedom of speech when you investigate?" -- to which he replied "Freedom of speech is an American concept, so I don't give it any value." (I guess Section 2 has been excised from his copy of the Canadian Charter of Rights.)
Jeez.
MR. SMOOT, MEET MR. HAWLEY: "The Democratic Party's protectionist make-over was completed yesterday, when Nancy Pelosi decided to kill the Colombia free trade agreement."
"HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION" TO MARK STEYN: Case dismissed, but you're guilty anyway! "I'd be interested to know whether the Justice Minister of Ontario thinks this is appropriate behaviour. At one level, Chief Commissioner Barbara Hall appears to have deprived Maclean's and me of the constitutional right to the presumption of innocence and the right to face our accusers. But, at another, it seems clear the OHRC enforcers didn't fancy their chances in open court."
TORCH DAY IN SAN FRANCISCO: Reader Dyema Manusov sends this report and photo:
Turn out was (and still is) amazing. As of 2:25 Pacific time it appears that the route has been diverted, so things are winding down. Seems like most of downtown SF turned out, or stood in the windows and rooftops of their office buildings. I would be surprised if any work at all got done this afternoon in the law and banking firms of the SF financial district. It seems that pretty much everybody, regardless of their background or affiliation, can agree that Tibet should be free. I guess its just one of those issues. I only saw one guy trying to conflate Tibet with Iraq or Chinese policies with US polices, and he was wearing a suit but had a home-made sign that said "First Things First: US Out of Iraq" - but he looked pretty lonely and I think I may have even heard a boo or two as he walked by. Didn't get a picture of him unfortunately.
One bizarre thing was the fake "party" in Justin Herman Plaza, where a band was trying to rock covers of "Get Down On It" and "Lets Go Crazy" for about a hundred-fifty pro-China folks (paid shills?), while surrounded by about three thousand pro-Tibet folks.
UPDATE: A reader emails:
Your poster on torch day wondered if the pro-China folks are paid shills. I strongly doubt it, as there are plenty of PRC nationals in the bay area and they're all anti-Tibet freedom. It's worth mentioning that this is an issue that pretty much extends over all Chinese. "Tibet has always been a part of China" is their slogan -- the historical record is pretty spotty, but that's their really quite emotional assertion.
I'm a 2nd-gen Chinese-American; I don't think much about these issues -- it's the privilege of being an American. But my interactions with my family and the PRC nationals that I work with tells me that the Chinese have a real fear about their territorial integrity. Between Taiwan and Tibet, they could easily lose a pretty big chunk (~10%?) of their national territory. That's something that would give any nation pause.
I hate the PRC regime (they've killed my family members); I think they're evil and I hope for their demise. But to assume that the Chinese people aren't as nationalist as their government is wrong.
I'm sure that's right.
JEREMIAH WRIGHT, REDUX? An anti-Semitic rant mars an award ceremony in Los Angeles. There's video.
UPDATE: Some thoughts on those Hollywood Jews, from Roger Simon.
TAYLOR MARSH: "My position on the D.C. case has been made clear. Residents should be able to own handguns. Period."
WARNING TO KARL: The lefties get very upset when you talk about this stuff. Some of them, if you can believe it, even mocked this photo as insufficiently manly. Hard to credit, I know, but there you are.
PAUL VOLCKER: A dollar crisis resulting from Fed efforts to contain damage from the housing/subprime crash. "The present climate, Mr. Volcker told his audience, reminded him of nothing so much as the early 1970s. Then as now, certain commodity prices were rising fast – he cited oil and soybeans as two examples. Then as now too, these were explained away as speculative price run-ups and not as a harbinger of a broader inflationary trend."
GOOD QUESTION: Reader Eric McErlain emails: "Glenn -- I've been doing just a little reading about these Texas polygamist group that was raided by Child Protective Services. I couldn't help but notice that nobody needed to call in any armed troops to perform a search and remove those kids -- a far cry from the Waco debacle. Why isn't anybody mentioning the difference in execution between the two operations?"
Yeah, they do seem to have managed it without burning everyone to death. Maybe somebody learned some lessons, or maybe the Waco raid was just criminally inept. Story here.
UPDATE: Reader Kenneth Bennight emails: "As a life-long Texan, I caution you not to be misled by the Texas stereotype. An important difference between El Dorado and Waco is that El Dorado, insofar as I can tell, was a state operation, whereas Waco was a federal one controlled by Janet Reno. I have always believed that Reno wanted a dramatic news story. The Texas authorities here moved quietly, with the news story coming only after the deed was done."
GAY RIGHTS VS. RELIGIOUS FREEDOM IN NEW MEXICO? Are you surprised to learn that a "Human Rights Commission" is involved? Once again, I think that people on the right should start taking advantage of this marvelous resource for justice.
A FREE-SPEECH FUNDRAISER for Canadian bloggers. I should note that I've donated to all of 'em.
HP SELLING INFECTED FLASH-FLOPPY DRIVES: Reportedly, they were infected at the factory. Publicizing the factory name and location would seem to be a useful deterrent, but the story doesn't mention those.
WHEN "SCIENCE" IS ABOUT taking sides instead of those annoying facts and numbers.
WHY OBAMA HAS BEEN SILENT ON TIBET: As Chicago Bids for Games, Obama Ducks Olympics Criticism. "Chicago is vying to host the 2016 games and one of Obama's top campaign advisors and close friends, Valerie Jarrett, is the vice chair of Chicago's bid committee."
LANNY DAVIS: "I have tried to get over my unease surrounding Barack Obama's response to the sermons and writings of his pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright of Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago. But the unanswered questions remain."
GAMING WHILE COLOR BLIND: "Eventually I realized there were blue, green, AND red people in the game. *sigh* Green and blue guys are teammates. Red guys are enemies. That seems simple enough, except that I couldn't tell the green guys from the red guys."
PHILIP CHASTON: "UN spots crisis and pleads cash is not such a good headline, though more truthful."
BARRON YOUNGSMITH OF THE NEW REPUBLIC EMAILS:
Several Rush Limbaugh listeners have been calling us today about a New Republic piece about Jeremiah Wright’s former religion. There’s been a lot of talk about the piece, so we thought you and your readers might like a link to the original article. Here’s the relevant passage:
After many lectures like this, Obama decided to take a second look at Wright's church. Older pastors warned him that Trinity was for "Buppies"--black urban professionals--and didn't have enough street cred. But Wright was a former Muslim and black nationalist who had studied at Howard and Chicago, and Trinity's guiding principles--what the church calls the "Black Value System"--included a "Disavowal of the Pursuit of 'Middleclassness.'"
Ryan Lizza is a former senior editor at TNR, and now the politics correspondent for the New Yorker. Hope it’s of some interest.
It may be.
UPDATE: Ralph Luker wants more information from Lizza on Wright's alleged Muslim past, though weirdly he makes this demand of me. In my constitutional-law capacity, however, I'll note that Luker severely misunderstands the point of the Constitution's provision regarding religious tests, which applies only to government rules, not voters' preferences.
To me, at any rate, Wright's well-documented antisemitism and anti-white bigotry -- and Obama's long-term acquiescence in the same -- is of more interest than an alleged Muslim past. Perhaps Luker would be willing to comment on those issues, particularly the latter, which seem more relevant to me. Somehow I think that if a white Republican were an adherent of Christian Identity theology, Luker wouldn't be invoking the "religious test" language.
Zimbabwe's opposition have accused hardline supporters of Robert Mugabe of embarking on a campaign of violence and intimidation across the country.
Sky News has seen a document which appears to show that 200 senior military officers have been deployed to constituencies where people voted against the ruling Zanu-PF party in the March 29 elections.
The document, leaked by a senior member of the Zimbabwe military and passed on to Sky News by opposition officials, suggests the serving officers will be leading teams of war veterans in an orchestrated attempt to crush support for the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC).
One hopes that they'll wind up swinging from trees instead, but I'm afraid it's probably a vain hope. Mugabe's opposition seems unwilling to use violence while Mugabe has no such scruples, which means they're likely to remain in opposition for a long time.
However, it might be a good time to pick up a used full-sized SUV at a steep enough discount to pay for a lot of gas: "'We're seeing many more people coming in with the fullsize SUV and pickups trying to trade out, and the problem is it's almost like it's flooding the used car market,' said Pat Tuminello, sales manager of Moss Motors Honda . . . . According to Cars.com, small cars like the Kia Spectra - up 41 percent - and Toyota Yaris - up 83 percent - had big gains last month, with similar growth for other automakers compact cars."
Reader: "The men you always see under her are to a person passive-aggressive, sadistic, mean, little, petty beta-male pieces of work who would not naturally succeed in a common male-type hierarchy. By that I mean an environment that values straightforward achievement rather than the darker political arts."
Camille: "I agree that the male staff who Hillary attracts are slick, geeky weasels or rancid, asexual cream puffs."
Man, this election has gotten mean. Well, the primary, anyway.
MORE THREATS AGAINST CANADIAN BLOGGERS: I don't understand why people on the right in Canada don't just start filing lawsuits -- and, better still, "human rights" complaints -- right and left whenever anyone says anything bad about white people, Americans, etc. "Flood the zone!" Are Canadians just too nice to engage in such tactics? Not all of them, obviously.
ANOTHER UPDATE: Toronto reader Allan Marsh answers my question:
Because the Human Rights Commissions don't accept complaints
from the right.
It's as simple as that.
All complaints from conservatives in Canada automatically are rejected.
I don't think even you have any idea how corrupt the "Human Rights" racket is in Canada.
Well, recent years have demonstrated that seemingly everything in Canada is more corrupt than I had thought, so that's possible, I suppose. But that's no reason not to file the complaints, and document the results.
The "Canadian" Human Rights Commission does not treat all Canadians equally. The lead investigator testifying on Tuesday, Dean Steacy, is blind, but the justice his commission administers certainly isn't: if you're one of their allies, they'll start lurking on websites before you've made a formal complaint. But, if you're not simpatico, they'll reject your complaint on the grounds that it was on double-sided paper. Which was what happened to Mr. Lemire, when he tried to file his own Section 13 complaint against the police. Apparently, Mr. Lemire's complaint was double-sided — which came as news to Mr. Lemire, since he faxed it in. But by the time it uncoiled itself at the other end it had become the first double-sided fax on the planet. "I don't know what happened to the fax," said Mr. Steacy non-committally. Hey, it's a federal bureaucracy: things happen. Evidently one reason why Richard Warman has been the complainant on every Section 13 case since 2002 is that he's the only one who remembers the critical single-sided rule.
Lemire is pretty creepy. But so is Warman. He's just the right kind of creepy, I guess. Nonetheless, I think that forcing them to demonstrate just how one-sided and politically-driven their program is is worthwhile.
BLACK GOLD. TEXASNORTH DAKOTA TEA. "A long-awaited federal report on oil that could be recovered in parts of North Dakota, Montana and two Canadian provinces is to be released this week. The Bakken shale formation encompasses some 25,000 square miles in North Dakota, Montana, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. About two-thirds of the acreage is in western North Dakota, where the oil is trapped in a thin layer of dense rock nearly two miles beneath the surface." Whether this will live up to the 200 billion barrel figure that was bouncing around the blogosphere earlier isn't clear. (Via Power and Control).
OBAMANOMICS: "The truth is, in order to get things like universal health care and a revamped education system, then someone is going to have to give up a piece of their pie so that someone else can have more."
Woo-whee, the testimony was riveting this morning before the Los Angeles City Council when a group of black residents pleaded with the 15 elected council members to rescind Special Order 40, the longtime local rule protecting illegal immigrants from arrest by the LAPD.
The black residents are seeking a decision by the council to enact the so-called Jamiel's Law, named after Jamiel Shaw, a promising and law-abiding 17-year-old high school student allegedly shot by an illegal immigrant, 18th Street Gang member Pedro Espinoza. The noxious Espinoza, who has a massively long rap sheet, was arrested and then released by the LAPD shortly before he allegedly murdered Jamiel.
Jamiel's family members cried openly in the ornate Council Chambers, asking the council to allow cops to check on the illegal status of people like Espinoza so they can be deported rather than released.
This should create some interesting political tensions.
MICKEY KAUS: "Is McCain's first ad really as bad as blogger 'Richelieu' says? No. It's worse! "
WALL STREET JOURNAL: "It is now respectable for Democrats to assert, even to welcome, military defeat (see here). But if a Presidential campaign functionary so much as hints at support for free trade, he's banished to policy exile. That's the meaning of Sunday's sacking of strategist Mark Penn from Hillary Clinton's campaign. . . . The grownups in both campaigns realize that free trade is good for the country, yet they must take a vow of public silence."
Barack Obama, who informs campaign audiences that he taught constitutional law for 10 years, might be expected to weigh in on the historic Second Amendment case before the U.S. Supreme Court. The justices are pondering whether the 1976 District of Columbia law effectively prohibiting personal gun ownership in the nation's capital is constitutional. But Sen. Obama has not stated his position.
Obama, disagreeing with the D.C. government and gun control advocates, declares the Second Amendment's "right of the people to keep and bear arms" applies to individuals, not just the "well-regulated militia" cited in the amendment. In the next breath, he asserts this constitutional guarantee does not preclude local "common sense" restrictions on firearms. Does the Draconian prohibition for Washington, D.C., fit that description? My attempts to get an answer have proved unavailing. The front-running Democratic presidential candidate is doing the gun dance.
MONKS STORM MEDIA TOUR IN CHINA: "Fifteen Tibetan Buddhist monks interrupted a state-sponsored media tour of a restive region of western China on Wednesday, demanding the return of the Dalai Lama and yelling that they had no human rights."
TONY BLAIR ON John McCain. Is this good or bad for McCain?
For an exceptional look at what happens to countries where the overall energy policies are dictated by imbeciles, lackwits, and lawyers (although I may be redundant in listing all three), look to South Africa, formerly an economic and industry powerhouse (pun intended) on the African continent. The country is now in a deepening economic crisis because they let all of the released inmates from the environmental asylum dictate policy, didn't build new power plants or maintain the existing ones appropriately, and so now they can't mine gold, platinum, and palladium at anything near normal production rates. A good part of the recent run ups on those metals' prices is because of the reduced production. There are rotating power outages around the country for everyone, and SA industry is being reined in significantly, obviously reducing the quality of living for the ordinary person.
Okay, the lawyer remark hurts. But lawyers who think they know how to run energy policy probably qualify.
The fairly uncontroversial argument that some regulations might have mitigated our current problems has been transformed, in the minds of many commentators, into a belief that the meltdown must therefore have been the result of deregulation, or of rapacious financiers deliberately crippling the regulatory apparatus. Hence the frequent invocation of that magic name, Glass-Steagall, which of course can summon the spirit of FDR to fix the economy if only the president is brave enough to speak it three times aloud.
Heck, I can call the spirit of FDR from the vasty deep. . . .
RON BAILEY on world food prices: "If surging demand is not the problem, what is? In three words: stupid energy policies. Although they are not perfect substitutes, oil and natural gas prices tend to move in tandem. So as oil prices rose above $100 per barrel, the price of gas also went up. Natural gas is the main feedstock for nitrogen fertilizer. As gas prices soared, so did fertilizer prices which rose by 200 percent. . . . Even worse is the bioethanol craze. Politicians in both the United States and the European Union are mandating that vast quantities of food be turned into fuel as they chase the chimera of 'energy independence.'" You can make methanol -- and, now, ethanol -- from kudzu. Forget corn.
April 08, 2008
THOUGHTS ON SURVIVAL FROM SAY UNCLE. Plus, this important observation: "I see that some other experts say that setting zombies on fire is bad."
You want to help make society a better place? You want to eliminate poverty? Become a corporate lawyer. Help businesses grow, so that they can create jobs and provide goods and services that make people’s lives better.
A corporate lawyer not only serves the public interest by helping to create new wealth, we also help defend an important social institution from statism. . . . Those whose livelihood depends on corporate enterprise cannot be neutral about political systems. Only democratic capitalist societies permit voluntary formation of private corporations and allot them a sphere of economic liberty within which to function, which gives those who value such enterprises a powerful incentive to resist both statism and socialism. Because tyranny is far more likely to come from the public sector than the private, those who for selfish reasons strive to maintain both a democratic capitalist society and, of particular relevance to the present argument, a substantial sphere of economic liberty therein serve the public interest.
Bravissimo!
UNDER FIRE: "The BBC is under fire after altering a news story about global warming as a result of activist pressure."
AN ARMY REENLISTMENT GOAL, exceeded. "In case that wasn't clear, I'll explain: the 3ID - the Division that took Baghdad in 2003, did a second tour in Iraq in 2005, and then bore the brunt of the surge in 2007, exceeded it's re-enlistment goal for FY2008 half way through the year."
AN UNWANTED PROMOTION FOR BILL STUNTZ: "My cancer has been promoted: I’m officially in stage 4. My doctors have found two cancerous nodules—a euphemism for “small tumors”—one on each of my lungs. I started chemo this week. Next week, I’ll see a thoracic surgeon who will, sometime this summer, cut those tumors out. Needless to say, this isn’t good news—though, thanks to medical advances (especially, thanks to those evil drug companies that politicians regularly attack), it isn’t disastrous news either. We’ll see what the future brings. I don’t have any previous experience with this sort of thing, but judging from what I hear and read, I’m supposed to be asking why all this is happening, and why it’s happening to me. Honestly, those questions are about the farthest thing from my mind."
NEWSPAPERS SLASHING JOBS, and Gerard van der Leun says they still won't admit their problem. "And yet the Seattle Times, as well as numerous other newspapers now dying in the US, never ever cops to its point of view as the reason why it is failing. This is like some postmodern purist hamburger joint that won't put cheeseburgers on the menu. There's 100 people who want either a hamburger or a cheeseburger, but the cooks only want to make hamburgers. For 55 people, that's great, but there's 45 people who won't ever again go to the Chez Hamburger Only / No Cheeseburger joint."
Corn thinks the "big news" in Petraeus testimony is that there isn't going to be a definite drawdown to pre-Surge levels any time soon. He may wish to consider another candidate for the headline. Admiral Fallon left CENTCOM amid rumor that he and Petraeus had clashed over the subject of how to respond to Iran. A recent spate of articles quoting Petraeus shifting the focus of operations to Iranian and Iranian backed groups suggests that the real context of the Surge and what follows is no longer driven by events in Iraq, but in its Islamic neighbor.
That, says Richard, is the real news. Plus this: "Corn seems to think that the proper role of the Democratic Congressmen was to discredit or attack the Surge. I would have thought their first duty was to listen to Petraeus and think about America's strategic choices in the region. But then it's 2008 and we all know what that year signifies."
UPDATE: David Bernstein emails: "Isn't Obama saying 'we can pull up [McCain's] quotes on Youtube,' and it's inaccurate to say he distorted those quotes, not that it's inaccurate to say that Obama said McCain wants us in a hundred year war?"
Hmm. I didn't hear it that way, and neither did Politico, but that's possible. However, as the CJR has noted, this wouldn't really help Obama out much.
TEN PIECES OF U.S. INFRASTRUCTURE we must fix now. Alas, you don't get to do much of a ribbon-cutting on infrastructure repairs, so they tend not to rise to the top of the list.
GO FIGURE: "Start with Barack Obama. Americans care more about him than John Yoo because, well, John Yoo isn't running for president."
VIDEO SHOT inside a BMW engine. Cool. "They had three complete engines shipped out to Belgium, where manifolds were cut, cylinders were shaved and lighting holes were drilled to mount special cameras, lenses and lights. After two weeks of intensive study and preparation, the team took another four, 20-hour days to film what happens inside the 420 hp mill during a single revolution. The completed spot was filmed at 10,000 frames-per-second and doesn't utilize any form of computer-generated effects."
MICHAEL SILENCE is evolving. I think it's a shrewd move.
Transcript: Report To Congress On The Situation In Iraq By General David H. Petraeus
General David H. Petraeus, Commander, Multi-National Force–Iraq
Testimony to Senate Armed Services Committee
April 8, 2008
GEN. PETRAEUS: Thank you, Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member, members of the committee. Thank you for the opportunity to provide an update on the security situation in Iraq and to discuss the recommendations I recently provided to my chain of command.
Since Ambassador Crocker and I appeared before you seven months ago there has been significant but uneven security progress in Iraq.
Since September, levels of violence and civilian deaths have been reduced substantially, Al Qaeda-Iraq and a number of other extremist elements have been dealt serious blows, the capabilities of Iraqi security force elements have grown, and there has been noteworthy involvement of local Iraqis in local security.
Nonetheless, the situation in certain areas is still unsatisfactory and innumerable challenges remain. Moreover, as events in the past two weeks have reminded us and as I have repeatedly cautioned, the progress made since last spring is fragile and reversible.
Still, security in Iraq is better than it was when Ambassador Crocker and I reported to you last September, and it is significantly better than it was 15 months ago when Iraq was on the brink of civil war and the decision was made to deploy additional forces to Iraq.
A number of factors have contributed to the progress that has been made.
First, of course, has been the impact of increased numbers of coalition and Iraqi forces. You're well aware of the U.S. surge. Less recognized is that Iraq has also conducted a surge, adding well over 100,000 additional soldiers and police to the ranks of its security forces in 2007 and slowly increasing its capability to deploy and employ these forces.
A second factor has been the employment of coalition and Iraqi forces in the conduct of counterinsurgency operations across the country, deployed together to safeguard the Iraqi people, to pursue Al Qaeda-Iraq, and to combat criminal elements and militia extremists, to foster local reconciliation, and to enable political and economic progress.
Another important factor has been the attitudinal shift among certain elements of the Iraqi population. Since the first Sunni Awakening in late 2006, Sunni communities in Iraq increasingly have rejected Al Qaeda-Iraq's indiscriminate violence and extremist ideology. These communities also recognize that they could not share in Iraq's bounty if they didn't participate in the political arena. Over time, Awakenings have prompted tens of thousands of Iraqis, some former insurgents, to contribute to local security as so-called Sons of Iraq.
With their assistance and with relentless pursuit of Al Qaeda- Iraq, the threat posed by AQI, while still lethal and substantial, has been reduced significantly.
The recent flare-up in Basra, southern Iraq, and Baghdad underscored the importance of the cease-fire declared by Muqtada al- Sadr last fall, another factor in the overall reduction in violence.
Recently, of course, some militia elements became active again. Though a Sadr stand-down resolved the situation to a degree, the flare-up also highlighted the destructive role Iran has played in funding, training, arming and directing the so-called special groups, and generated renewed concern about Iran in the minds of many Iraqi leaders. Unchecked, the special groups pose the greatest long-term threat to the viability of a democratic Iraq.
As we look to the future, our task, together with our Iraqi partners, will be to build on the progress achieved and to deal with the many challenges that remain.
I do believe that we can do this while continuing the ongoing drawdown of the surge forces.
In September, I described the fundamental nature of the conflict in Iraq as a competition among ethnic and sectarian communities for power and resources. This completion continues, influenced heavily by outside actors. And its resolution remains the key to producing long- term stability in Iraq.
Various elements push Iraq's ethno-sectarian competition toward violence. Terrorists, insurgents, militia extremists and criminal gangs pose significant threats.
Al Qaeda's senior leaders, who still view Iraq as the central front in their global strategy, send funding, direction and foreign fighters to Iraq.
Actions by neighboring states compound Iraq's challenges. Syria has taken some steps to reduce the flow of foreign fighters through its territory, but not enough to shut down the key network that supports Al Qaeda-Iraq. And Iran has fueled the violence, as I noted, in a particularly damaging way through its lethal support to the special groups.
Finally, insufficient Iraqi government capacity, lingering sectarian mistrust and corruption add to Iraq's problems.
These challenges and recent weeks' violence notwithstanding, Iraq's ethno-sectarian competitions in many areas is now taking place more through debate and less through violence.
In fact, the recent escalation of violence in Baghdad and southern Iraq was dealt with, temporary (sic) at least, by most parties acknowledging that the rational way ahead is through political dialogue rather than street fighting.
As I stated at the outset, though Iraq remains a violent country, we do see progress in the security arena.
As this chart illustrates, for nearly six months, security incidents have been at a level not seen since early to mid 2005, though the level did spike in recent weeks as a result of the fighting in Basra and Baghdad. The level of incidents has, however, begun to turn down again, though the period ahead will be a sensitive one.
As our primary mission is to help protect the population, we closely monitor the number of Iraqi civilians killed due to violence.
As this chart reflects, civilian deaths have decreased over the past year to a level not seen since the February 2006 Samarra mosque bombing that set off the cycle of sectarian violence that tore the very fabric of Iraqi society in 2006 and early 2007.
This chart also reflects our increasing use of Iraqi-provided reports, with the top line reflecting coalition and Iraqi data, and the bottom line reflecting coalition-confirmed data only.
No matter which data is used, civilian deaths due to violence have been reduced significantly, though more work clearly needs to be done.
Ethno-sectarian violence is a particular concern in Iraq, as it is a cancer that continues to spread if left unchecked. As the box in the bottom left of this chart shows, the number of deaths due to ethno-sectarian violence has fallen since we testified last September.
A big factor has been the reduction of ethno-sectarian violence in Baghdad, density plots for which are shown in the boxes depicting Iraq's capital over time.
Some of this decrease is, to be sure, due to sectarian hardening of certain Baghdad neighborhoods. However, that is only a partial explanation, as countless sectarian fault lines in numerous mixed neighborhoods still exist in Baghdad and elsewhere.
In fact, coalition and Iraqi forces have focused along the fault lines to reduce the violence and enable Sunni and Shia leaders to begin the long process of healing in their local communities.
As this next chart shows, even though the number of high-profile attacks increased in March as Al Qaeda lashed out, the current level of attacks like this remains far below its height a year ago.
Moreover, as we have helped improve security and focused on enemy networks, we have seen a decrease in the effectiveness of such attacks. The number of deaths due to ethno-sectarian violence, in particular, has remained relatively low, illustrating the enemy's inability to date to reignite the cycle of ethno-sectarian violence.
The emergence of Iraqi volunteers to help secure their local communities has been an important development. As this chart depicts, there are now over 91,000 Sons of Iraq, Shia as well as Sunni, under contract to help coalition and Iraqi forces protect their neighborhoods and secure infrastructure and roads.
These volunteers have contributed significantly in various areas, and the savings and vehicles not lost because of reduced violence, not to mention the priceless lives saved have far outweighed the costs of their monthly contracts.
Sons of Iraq have also have contributed to the discovery of improvised explosive devices and weapons and explosive caches. As this next chart shows, in fact we have already found more caches in 2008 than we found in all of 2006.
Given the importance of the Sons of Iraq, we're working closely with the Iraqi government to transition them into the Iraqi security forces or other forms of employment. And over 21,000 have already been accepted into the police or army or other government jobs.
This process has been slow but it is taking place, and we will continue to monitor it carefully.
Al Qaeda also recognizes the significance of the Sons of Iraq, and AQI elements have targeted them repeatedly. However, these attacks, in addition to AQI's use of women, children and the handicapped as suicide bombers, have further alienated Al Qaeda-Iraq from the Iraqi people.
And the tenacious pursuit of AQI, together with AQI's loss of local support in many areas, has substantially reduced its capabilities, numbers, and freedom of movement.
This chart displays the cumulative effect of the effort against Al Qaeda-Iraq and its insurgent allies. As you can see, we've reduced considerably the areas in which Al Qaeda enjoys support and sanctuary, though clearly there is more to be done.
Having noted that progress, Al Qaeda is still capable of lethal attacks. And we must maintain relentless pressure on the organization, on the networks outside of Iraq that support it and on the resource flows that sustain it.
This chart lays out the comprehensive strategy that we, the Iraqis, and our interagency and international partners are employing to reduce what Al Qaeda-Iraq needs.
As you can see, defeating Al Qaeda in Iraq requires not just actions by our elite counterterrorist forces, but also major operations by coalition and Iraqi conventional forces, a sophisticated intelligence effort, political reconciliation, economic and social programs, information operations initiatives, diplomatic activity, the employment of counterinsurgency principles and detainee operations, and many other actions.
Related to this effort, I applaud Congress' support for additional intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance assets in the upcoming supplemental, as ISR is vital to the success of our operations in Iraq and elsewhere.
As we combat AQI we must remember that doing so not only reduces a major source of instability in Iraq, it also weakens an organization that Al Qaeda's senior leaders view as a tool to spread its influence and foment regional instability. Osama bin laden and Ayman al- Zawahiri have consistently advocated exploiting the situation in Iraq, and we have also seen Al Qaeda-Iraq involved in destabilizing activities in the wider Mideast region.
Together with the Iraqi security forces we have also focused on the special groups. These elements are funded, trained, armed and directed by Iran's Quds Force with help from Lebanese Hezbollah. It was these groups that launched Iranian rockets and mortar rounds at Iraq's seat of government two weeks ago, causing loss of innocent life and fear in the capital, and requiring Iraqi and coalition actions in response.
Iraqi and coalition leaders have repeatedly noted their desire that Iran live up to the promises made by President Ahmadinejad and other senior Iranian leaders to stop their support for the special groups.
However, nefarious activities by the Quds Force have continued and Iraqi leaders now clearly recognize the threat they pose to Iraq. We should all watch Iranian actions closely in the weeks and months ahead as they will show the kind of relationship Iran wishes to have with its neighbor and the character of future Iranian involvement in Iraq.
The Iraqi security forces have continued to develop since September, and we have transferred responsibilities to Iraqi forces as their capabilities and the conditions on the ground have permitted. Currently, as this chart shows, half of Iraq's 18 provinces are under provincial Iraqi control. Many of these provinces, not just the successful ones in the Kurdish regional government area but also a number of southern provinces, have done well.
Challenges have emerged in some other, including of course Basra. Nonetheless, this process will continue and we expect Anbar and Qadisiyah provinces to transition in the months ahead.
Iraqi forces have grown significantly since September, and over 540,000 individuals now serve in the Iraqi security forces.
The number of combat battalions capable of taking the lead in operations, albeit with some coalition support, has grown to well over 100. These units are bearing an increasing share of the burden, as evidenced by the fact that Iraqi security losses have recently been three times our own.
We will, of course, conduct careful after-action reviews with our Iraqi partners in the wake of recent operations, as there were units and leaders found wanting in some cases, and some of our assessments may be downgraded as a result.
Nonetheless, the performance of many units was solid, especially once they get their footing and gained a degree of confluence. And certain Iraqi elements proved quite capable.
Underpinning the advances of the past year has been improvements in Iraq's security institutions.
An increasingly robust Iraqi-run training base enabled the Iraqi security forces to grow by over 133,000 soldiers and police over the past 16 months. And the still-expanding training base is expected to generate an additional 50,000 Iraqi soldiers and 16 army and special operations battalions through the rest of 2008, along with 23,000 police and eight national police battalions.
Additionally, Iraq's security ministries are steadily improving their ability to execute their budgets. As this chart shows, in 2007, as in 2006, Iraq's security ministries spent more on their forces than the United States provided through the Iraqi Security Forces Fund.
We anticipate that Iraq will spend over $8 billion on security this year and $11 billion next year. And this projection enabled us recently to reduce significantly our Iraqi Security Forces Fund request for fiscal year 2009 from $5.1 billion to $2.8 billion.
While improved Iraqi security forces are not yet ready to defend Iraq or maintain security throughout the country on their own, recent operations in Basra highlight improvements in the ability of the Iraqi security forces to deploy substantial numbers of units, supplies and replacements on very short notice. They certainly could not have deployed a division's worth of army and police units on such short notice a year ago. On the other hand, the recent operations also underscored the considerable work still to be done in the area of logistics, force enablers, staff development, and command and control.
We also continue to help Iraq through the U.S. Foreign Military Sales program. As of March 2008, the Iraqi government has purchased over $2 billion worth of equipment and services of American origin through FMS.
Since September, and with your encouragement of the organizations and the FMS progress -- process delivery has improved, as the FMS system has strived to support urgent war-time requirements.
On a related note, I would ask that Congress consider restoring funding for the International Military Education and Training program which supports education for mid- and senior-level Iraqi military and civilian leaders and is an important component of the development of the leaders Iraq will need in the future.
While security has improved in many areas, and the Iraqi security forces are shouldering more of the load, the situation in Iraq remains exceedingly complex and challenging.
Iraq could face a resurgence of Al Qaeda-Iraq, or additional Shia groups could violate Muqtada al-Sadr's cease-fire order and return to violence. External actors, like Iran, could stoke violence within Iraq and actions by other neighbors could undermine the security situation as well.
Other challenges result, paradoxically, from improved security, which has provided opportunities for political and economic progress and improved services at the local, provincial and national levels.
But the improvements have also created expectations that progress will continue.
In the coming months, Iraq leaders must strengthen governmental capacity, execute budgets, pass additional legislation, conduct provincial elections, carry out a census, determine the status of disputed territories, and resettle internally displaced persons and refugees. These tasks would challenge any government, much less a still-developing government tested by war.
The Commander's Emergency Response Program, the State Department's Quick Response Fund, and USAID programs enable us to help Iraq deal with its challenges. To that end, I respectfully ask that you provide us by June the additional CERP funds requested in the supplemental. These funds have an enormous impact. As I noted earlier, the salaries paid to the Sons of Iraq alone cost far less than the cost savings in vehicles not lost due to the enhanced security in local communities.
Encouragingly, the Iraqi government recently allocated $300 million for us to manage as Iraqi CERP to perform projects for their people, while building their own capacity to do so. The Iraqi government has also committed $163 million to gradually assume Sons of Iraq contracts, $510 million for small-business loans, and $196 million for a joint training and reintegration program.
The Iraqi government pledges to provide more as they execute the budget passed two months ago. Nonetheless, it is hugely important to have our resources continue even as Iraqi funding begins to outstrip ours.
Last month I provided my chain of command recommendations for the way ahead in Iraq. During that process, I noted the objective of retaining and building on our hard-fought security gains, while we draw down to the pre-surge level of 15 brigade combat teams. I emphasized the need to continue work with our Iraqi partners to secure the population and to transition responsibilities to the Iraqis as quickly as conditions permits but without jeopardizing the security gains that have been made.
As in September, my recommendations are informed by operational and strategic considerations. The operational considerations include recognition that: the military surge has achieved progress, but that that progress is reversible; Iraqi security forces have strengthened their capabilities, but still must grow further; the provincial elections in the fall, refugee returns, detainee releases, and efforts to resolve provincial boundaries disputes and Article 140 issues will be very challenging; the transition of Sons of Iraq into the Iraqi security forces or other pursuits will require time and careful monitoring; withdrawing too many forces too quickly could jeopardize the progress of the past year; and performing the necessary tasks in Iraq will require sizable conventional forces, as well as special operation forces and adviser teams.
The strategic considerations include recognition that: the strain on the U.S. military, especially on its ground forces, has been considerable; a number of the security challenges inside Iraq are also related to significant regional and global threats; a failed state in Iraq would pose serious consequences for the greater fight against Al Qaeda, for regional stability, for the already existing humanitarian crisis in Iraq, and for the efforts to counter malign Iranian influence.
After weighing these factors, I recommended to my chain of command that we continue the drawdown in the surge to the combat forces and that upon the withdrawal of the last surge brigade combat team in July, we undertake a 45-day period of consolidation and evaluation. At the end of that period, we will commence a process of assessment to examine the conditions on the ground and over time determine when we can make recommendations for further reductions. This process will be continuous, with recommendations for further reductions made as conditions permit.
This approach does not allow establishment of a set withdrawal timetable, however it does provide the flexibility those of us on the ground need to preserve the still-fragile security gains our troopers have fought so far and sacrifice so much to achieve.
With this approach, the security achievements of 2007 and early 2008 can form a foundation for the gradual establishment of sustainable security in Iraq. This is not only important to the 27 million citizens of Iraq, it is also vitally important to those in the Gulf region, to the citizens of the United States, and to the global community.
It clearly is in our national interests to help Iraq prevent the resurgence of Al Qaeda in the heart of the Arab world, to help Iraq resist Iranian encroachment on its sovereignty, to avoid renewed ethno-sectarian violence that could spill over Iraq's borders and make the existing refugee crisis even worse, and to enable Iraq to expand its role in the regional and global economies.
In closing, I want to comment briefly on those serving our nation in Iraq. We have asked a great deal of them and of their families, and they have made enormous sacrifices.
My keen personal awareness of the strain on them and on the force as a whole has been an important factor in my recommendations.
The Congress, the executive branch and our fellow citizens have done an enormous amount to support our troopers and their loved ones. And all of us are grateful for that.
Nothing means more to those in harm's way than the knowledge that their country appreciates their sacrifices and those of their families. Indeed, all Americans should take great pride in the men and women serving our nation in Iraq and in the courage, determination, resilience and initiative they demonstrate each and every day. It remains the greatest of honors to soldier with them.
These are nice pics, but they were taken with the D50 and when blown up to "actual pixels" size there's a noticeable difference in sharpness and color as compared with the D300. On the other hand, the D50 (well, now it's the successor D40 model) is still a hell of a great camera, and it's a whole lot cheaper than the D300.
DELEGATE FOR OBAMA QUITS OVER REMARKS: "Barack Obama's campaign persuaded a delegate to step down after she was ticketed for calling her neighbor's African-American children 'monkeys.' . . . The only Hispanic on the board, Ramirez-Sliwinski has been a strong voice for Carpentersville's 40 percent Hispanic population. She and Village President Bill Sarto opposed an English-only proposition and an ordinance to crack down on illegal immigrants."
Ticketed? It doesn't say for what.
UPDATE: Tom Maguire emails that she was ticketed for "disorderly conduct." Seems weak to me.
AUSTIN BAY: No, Sadr did not win. "The quick damnation of PM Maliki and the Iraqi Army’s efforts last week reveals an immense ignorance of warfare, one still rampant despite six-plus years of alleged experience; it displays not simply hasty, herd-mentality judgmentalism, but demonstrates in trump cards the sensationalist, fear-leveraging slant of most media coverage."
Related item here. "On the political front, Sadr now finds himself completely isolated."
TALKLEFT: "For a campaign that has been declared over, and a candidate who has been declared dead, Hillary Clinton sure gets alot of attention from the Obama News Network (NBC), not to mention the Obama blog network (you know who I mean)."
April 07, 2008
SOME MORE PICTURES, taken this afternoon when I managed to steal an hour or so at the World's Fair Park.
We have the Law School graduation ceremony in this amphitheater sometimes.
ANOTHER EMBARRASSMENT: "Horrible Chinese Thugs" surround Olympic torch in London. It's gotten so bad they're talking about getting rid of the torch run.
The mask has kinda slipped.
PAUL KRUGMAN SAYS THAT biofuels have been a terrible mistake. That will remain true for so long -- and only for so long -- as we're turning food into fuel. Biofuels from waste biomass are a whole different story.
HOW MUCH HOUSEWORK DOES A HUSBAND CREATE? I was thinking about this study while I was cooking dinner. . . .
Of course, if you read past the headline you discover that it's really marriage that creates more housework:
Both the men and the women who got married did more housework than those who stayed single, the analysis showed.
These studies are always set up and headlined, though, to make men sound like losers. How about this: How much yardwork and fix-it work does a wife create? I was thinking about this while I was solving my wife's computer problem this afternoon . . . .
UPDATE: Reader Kevin Donovan emails:
What caught my eye was this:
"Excluded from these 'core' housework hours were tasks like gardening, home repairs, or washing the car."
This just seems hilarious. When I was growing up my father maintained and washed the cars, mowed, fertilized, etc. the yard and did all sorts of carpentry, plumbing and electrical, etc. work around the house. Of course once you remove all the stereotypical male tasks from the definition of housework, women will do more of what's left over, assuming some sort of sex-based division of labor.
Yeah. It's like the whole thing is rigged or something.
STARBUCKS VS. THE FREE MARKET: "Apparently the folks at Starbucks (and Arroweye, the company that processes the cards) find it unacceptable that some of their customers want to celebrate the economic system that has allowed for their success."
ILYA SOMIN AND JOHN MCGINNIS ON Democracy and International Human Rights law. "The undemocratic origin of most international human rights law greatly reduces the desirability of allowing it to change the domestic law of democratic states."
INDOCTRINATE U. -- the New York City premiere: "Indoctrinate U will be shown on Monday, April 14th at the Director’s Guild of America Theater on West 57th Street in midtown Manhattan." If you want to attend, you need to RSVP. Follow the link for info.
ROGER KIMBALL: "I have been reading a good deal of Kipling recently. Jodi Kantor’s odious emetic tapestry of innuendo reminded me once again how pertinent that great observer of humanity is to our current situation."
ONE OF THE COOL THINGS about the D300 is its high speed -- fast enough to stop motion indoors, as this picture from the Law School's main rotunda shows:
A LOOK AT CZARS IN AMERICAN POLITICS: "We have other czars currently in the White House. There is the Drug Czar and most recently President Bush appointed the War Czar. Usually, czars are appointed to solve, or help monitor, nagging policy problems that just seem to fester. In reality, presidents don't really want a czar, they want a wizard. Wizards can make problems go away with a puff of smoke. Czars never seem to."
BARACK OBAMA, the pro-gun candidate! Hypocrisy is the tribute, yada yada.
CBS IS FOLLOWING THE MURTHA MONEY: "According to the report, Murtha has used $2 BILLION taxpayer dollars since 1992 to fund his wasteful pork projects. All the while, he received generous campaign contributions from his earmark recipients. " Video at the link, or below.
A JUDICIAL REVIEW: "Polizzi reads less like a judicial decision than a 266-page book of opinion essays." Actually, as a matter of policy I think I agree with Judge Weinstein, but I don't think the law is on his side.
Some vaguely related thoughts on the role of juries here.
THINGS YOU MIGHT HAVE MISSED THIS WEEKEND, if you were off having a life:
I think a lot of conservatives' otherwise puzzling support for Barack Obama’s presidential campaign can be explained for the most part by those conservatives’ opposition to the Iraq war. See, e.g., Andrew Sullivan and Doug Kmiec. So I’ll offer them a long bet: If Obama wins and pulls all US combat troops out of Iraq by the end of June 2010, they win. If Obama wins and there’s 50,000 or more US combat troops in Iraq at the end of December 2010, I win. Anything in the middle and bet’s off. Deal?
Well, I don't think Andrew's supporting Obama based on gay marriage. Though if so he's likely to be disappointed there, too. Maybe I should offer a bet on whether a President Obama would push recognition for gay marriage by 2010. . . .
MORE EMBARRASSMENT FOR CHINA: "The Olympic touch was doused Monday in Paris as demonstrators protested China's civil rights record and involvement [in] Tibet, police said."
At the mere mention of doing the pledge there were groans and boos. Then, when the district chair put the idea of doing the Pledge of Allegiance up to a vote, it was overwhelmingly voted down. One might more accurately say the idea of pledging allegiance to the flag (of which there was only one in the room, by the way, on some delegate’s hat) was shouted down.
On the other hand there was this touching display of party loyalty, from Hillary's representative: “Should Obama get the nomination I will become a massive Barack Hussein Obama supporter.” You'll recognize his name.
JOHN KASS: "The wounds inflicted on Barack Obama by the hateful speech of his pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright, are serious and profound. Why else would ministers gather at Obama's church in Chicago—Trinity United Church of Christ—to hold a news conference demanding a 'sacred' national dialogue on race?"
That's the idea behind a new study from a team of researchers at the University of Colorado law school, who worked full time for nearly six months on a project that could help the next U.S. president make sweeping climate-change policies -- fast. The new report probes the edges of executive orders and lays out the authority the next president could use to introduce global-warming policies without waiting for legislation to wind its way through the notoriously slow congressional machine.
"Given the extreme importance of climate change, this is a way for the next president to be able to take rapid action," said Kevin Doran, a researcher at CU's Center for Energy and Environmental Security. . . .
The report is part of a larger project, the Presidential Climate Action Project, which has created "a bold, comprehensive and non-partisan plan for presidential leadership rooted in climate science," according to its Web site, www.climateactionproject .com.
Guess the days of worrying about the imperial presidency have come to an end.
Iraq's major Shiite, Sunni and Kurdish parties have closed ranks to force anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr to disband his Mahdi Army militia or leave politics, lawmakers and officials involved in the effort said Sunday.
Such a bold move risks a violent backlash by al-Sadr's Shiite militia. But if it succeeds it could cause a major realignment of Iraq's political landscape.
I think that they're less worried about such a backlash, post-Basra.
I GUESS HE'S JUST NOT HATEABLE ENOUGH: Anti-McCain groups lag in fundraising. "Democratic talk of an early, hard-hitting campaign to "define" and tar Arizona Sen. John McCain appears to have fizzled for lack of money, leading to a quiet round of finger-pointing among Democratic operatives and donors . . . . Despite the millions of dollars pooling around Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton, anti-McCain funds have fallen far short of the hopes set in November, when a key organizer, Tom Matzzie, reportedly told The Washington Post that the 'Fund for America' would raise more than $100 million to support the activities of a range of allied groups. "
TODAY WAS THE FIRST REALLY NICE DAY in a bit, and although I was busy I managed to get out with the D300 and take a few pictures. I took Ken Rockwell's advice and turned the saturation way up. This worked well for the flower, but I think it was a bit much for the already-vivid green of springtime grass in Tennessee. He's in California, where I think the colors tend to be a bit muted. Still, it looks good.
Don't know why he brought his Mercedes to the park for polishing, but he looked like he was enjoying it.
SOME PEOPLE WOULD CERTAINLY LIKE FOR THIS TO BE TRUE: Dan Senor: Condoleezza Rice Is Pursuing the VP Spot. And it's probably good for McCain if a potential running mate has more actual experience than both of his potential opponents put together.
ECONOMICS: Reader John Lewis emails a number of center-right blogs:
I'm a long time reader and fan of your blogs and a staunch Republican, but am increasingly worried that the approach to ignore or minimize economic bad news is not going to work in this election cycle. It seems to me that none of you are particularly interested in economics, however, I'm afraid that we are all going to be interested by the time this business cycle is over. There is a very good chance that the unemployment rate will be significantly higher this November than November of 1996.
This may well be true; we're overdue for a recession -- we haven't had a really deep one in over 25 years -- and my sense is that there remains a lot of economic idiocy still to be wrung out of the system, which is what recessions are for.
Speaking for myself, though, I'm not an econo-blogger. I tend to be over-pessimistic, but I guess I have tuned out a lot of the media econo-doomsaying because they've been predicting massive economic collapse for pretty much my entire sensate life and so far it hasn't come. Plus, at the moment they're playing their usual pre-election gloom-and-doom game in the hopes of helping the Democrats.
Which doesn't mean that the economy is necessarily doing better than they say, since their bias is exceeded only by their laziness and ignorance. As I noted some years ago about their Iraq reporting, the fact that they're transparently playing up bogus bad news doesn't mean that there isn't genuine bad news that they're not reporting, because reporting that would require knowledge and effort. So you can't just apply "Kentucky windage" and assume that things are better than the reports say. They may actually be worse, just in a different way than is reported . . .
Lewis continues:
There are a large number of recent proposals and actions by both Democrats and Republicans that fly in the face of any sort of capitalist belief system and will almost certainly serve to extend the depth and duration of the downturn. Bailing out homeowners? By whom? Renters? I shudder to think about how socialist we could become under a Democratic administration. The proposals by Clinton and Obama have been astounding.
Bottom line is that I am surprised by how little interest has been shown by conservative (or libertarian) blogs in the ongoing financial crisis. There seems to be no one in the conservative political blogosphere standing up against these dramatic expansions of government programs and interventions into our markets.
He's right about this. The bailout-and-regulation proposals seem more like payoffs and power-grabs than good policy to me. Anyway, here's a post by Professor Bainbridge that addresses some of these issues. And I love this bit: "bursting of bubbles inevitably leads to 'a kind of speculative frenzy in regulation.'”
We're probably seeing that now.
UPDATE: A hedge-fund reader emails:
Defending free markets and letting risk takers take their lumps is simply outside the realm of polite public discourse these days.
Most folks in hedgefundland are seething at the upcoming spin of the regulatory and tax ratchets, but the chattering classes only extol an expansion of the regulatory gobbledygook that got us here.
Bernanke's repeated blinking when confronted with chaos, first during the SocGen debacle in January and recently with Bear Stearns, left laissez faire folks no political cover.
Free market types assume silence is preferable to calling in mortar fire on themselves.
Well, that's a cheerful take. If the folks in hedgefundland are unhappy with what the Chattering Classes are saying, my suggestion is to do something about it. Emailing bloggers is a start, but only a very small one!
The online behavior of a small but growing number of computer users in the United States is monitored by their Internet service providers, who have access to every click and keystroke that comes down the line.
The companies harvest the stream of data for clues to a person's interests, making money from advertisers who use the information to target their online pitches.
The practice represents a significant expansion in the ability to track a household's Web use because it taps into Internet connections, and critics liken it to a phone company listening in on conversations. But the companies involved say customers' privacy is protected because no personally identifying details are released.
Kinda irritating, anyway.
OUR FIRST BLACK PRESIDENT: Not Bill Clinton, but Warren Harding. Though the two share some traits.
Apparently, Obama lacks the backbone to repudiate any of his supporters. I'm not the first to note the contrast here. I expect the press to give him a pass on it, but people will notice nonetheless.
ANDREW BOLT NOTES "a marker indicating what a PR disaster the Olympics have turned out to be so far for China, when even Rudd is now nervous about saying he’ll go."
NOTE FROM THE DEAN: My colleague Greg Stein has published two form letters for Deans to use in response to U.S. News rankings changes, in the Chicago Tribune. And I love the bio tag at the end.
IN THE MAIL: Two books by Liz Williams, Snake Agent and The Demon and the City, both in the science fiction / fantasy "Detective Inspector Chen" series. I haven't read 'em but they sound vaguely reminiscent of Charles Stross's The Atrocity Archive or Tim Powers' Declare.
A growing work force of home-office laborers and entrepreneurs, armed with computers and smartphones and wired to the hilt, are toiling under great physical and emotional stress created by the around-the-clock Internet economy that demands a constant stream of news and comment. . . .
Two weeks ago in North Lauderdale, Fla., funeral services were held for Russell Shaw, a prolific blogger on technology subjects who died at 60 of a heart attack. In December, another tech blogger, Marc Orchant, died at 50 of a massive coronary. A third, Om Malik, 41, survived a heart attack in December.
Other bloggers complain of weight loss or gain, sleep disorders, exhaustion and other maladies born of the nonstop strain of producing for a news and information cycle that is as always-on as the Internet.
To be sure, there is no official diagnosis of death by blogging, and the premature demise of two people obviously does not qualify as an epidemic. There is also no certainty that the stress of the work contributed to their deaths.
But that won't stop the story from rolling on as if these things have been proven! Blogging can be stressful, but it's not digging ditches. If you think otherwise, you've never dug a ditch. (Via Memeorandum). Which is not to say that bloggers shouldn't get away from the computer now and then. Maybe even yoga for geeks!
Plus this: "I guess it’s all individual but for God’s sake if it’s killing you go work for the Ny Times, seems to be a cakewalk over there." Indeed.
And yeah, I'm linking to the New York Times a lot this morning. Just trying to help 'em out!
MORE: Laughing at death. And more death-defiance here. Say, now that blogging turns out to be such a highly dangerous endeavor, will that mean the end of "chickenhawk" slurs in the blogosphere?
Survivalism, it seems, is not just for survivalists anymore.
Faced with a confluence of diverse threats — a tanking economy, a housing crisis, looming environmental disasters, and a sharp spike in oil prices — people who do not consider themselves extremists are starting to discuss doomsday measures once associated with the social fringes.
They stockpile or grow food in case of a supply breakdown, or buy precious metals in case of economic collapse. Some try to take their houses off the electricity grid, or plan safe houses far away. The point is not to drop out of society, but to be prepared in case the future turns out like something out of “An Inconvenient Truth,” if not “Mad Max.”
I actually wrote a column on this very phenomenon a couple of years ago. It's real.
UPDATE: More on disaster preparedness here and here.
ANOTHER UPDATE: Reader Lou Wainwright emails:
Also, don’t neglect the impact of World War Z! Evaluating my family’s future prospects in light of a Zombie War has been humbling - especially living in Boston, as far as possible from the natural barrier of the Rockies. Having read the book I’m giving significantly more consideration to the depths of our reserves, perimeter defense, surrounding geography, and survival without gas or electricity…not to mention researching the purchase of a katana and other suitable decapitation tools.
Maybe that explains the interest in knifeblogging! But don't worry Lou, I've gotcha covered.
MORE: Reader William Casey emails: "Almost every book on survival preparedness talks about having a year's supply of food stockpiled. What if you have to evacuate the area hurriedly and permanently?"
You should have a "bugout bag" with necessities, and you might also want some MREs you can throw in the trunk. But obviously you can't take more than a week or two worth of food when evacuating. The rest, alas, will be left for the zombies, who won't properly appreciate it. . . .
Here's a helpful instructional video on the subject from (who else?) the Zombie Squad. And some further suggestions here. You may also wish to include firearms. Note that shotguns, according to Hollywood, are the only firearms generally effective against evil. Here's a big bugout bag roundup, including firearms, from Say Uncle, though he unaccountably neglects the zombie angle, somewhat diminishing his credibility.
IT ALL DEPENDS ON WHAT THE MEANING OF "WE" IS: "Seeing yourself as a part of a tradition and accepting service and sacrifice within that tradition — that's not 'we'? Devising a magnificent, marketable political persona — that's not 'I'?"
It has been suggested by a couple of Platinum subscribers that I think about starting up the old monthly "A Step Farther Out" column; a general report on the sciences or some monthly science news, with an annual "State of the Sciences" essay. I confess I liked doing that.
It's a good idea. I loved that column when I was a kid, in junior high and high school.
We are about to experience the greatest, and most culturally challenging, consumer expansion since the discovery of the New World. In his new book, "Jump Point," Silicon Valley marketing veteran Tom Hayes reveals that the world's leading cell phone companies predict the world market for Internet users is about to triple. What had been one billion wireless users just a few years ago jumped to two billion by the end of 2007 – and will jump again to three billion by 2011.
That timeline may be optimistic. But the U.S. needs to get its competitive house in order soon, or it will face a very tough world.
Mr. McCain, now the presumptive Republican nominee, has staked his candidacy on the promise that American troops can bring stability to Iraq. What he almost never says is that one of them is his own son, who spent seven months patrolling Anbar Province and learned of his father’s New Hampshire victory in January while he was digging a stuck military vehicle out of the mud.
No doubt he can expect an endorsement from those antiwar types who have criticized the Bush daughters for not serving in Iraq.